[kwlug-disc] pandemic lockdown

Khalid Baheyeldin kb at 2bits.com
Fri Mar 13 13:18:49 EDT 2020


On Fri, Mar 13, 2020 at 12:42 PM Doug Moen <doug at moens.org> wrote:

> For people who want to read a detailed technical explanation:
>
> https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
> <https://www.google.com/url?q=https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca&sa=D&source=hangouts&ust=1584147693240000&usg=AFQjCNFhyUn3ihXLWnp3iKMvOZWJbbCy2Q>
> As an addendum to this, for people with math knowledge, the # of confirmed
> infections in Ontario has been rising at an exponential rate since Feb 23.
> Here are the numbers that I gathered from news reports:
>

Someone mentioned that article yesterday and it is scary. It predicts a
dire situation for France and Spain too.
I childhood friend works as a doctor in Italy, and he tells me that next
week will be very hard there as the health system is swamped.

The USA media has been making visualization from the article too, such as
this:

https://youtu.be/-SoZcjMWxm8?t=621

It is good that Canada took these measures, but one wonders if they are
enough or timely.
Also the sheer neglect of facts by the administration south of the border
has seeded Canada with cases from the USA. Do we need to do more? Time will
tell.

P.S., for KWLUGers who want to raise their anxiety levels further, I
> recommend the continually updated graphs and statistics at:
> https://covid19info.live/
>
>
I follow this from Johns Hopkins.
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

No graphs, but I extracted the following number over the days (worldwide
total)

2020-03-07 11:45 102,475 cases, 3,491 deaths
2020-03-07 15:50 105,820 cases, 3,588 deaths
2020-03-08 13:15 107,835 cases, 3,658 deaths
2020-03-07 18:00 109,832 cases, 3,802 deaths
2020-03-08 21:45 110,034 cases, 3,824 deaths
2020-03-09 09:30 111,363 cases, 3,892 deaths
2020-03-09 14:30 113,432 cases, 3,994 deaths
2020-03-10 12:05 116,166 cases, 4,088 deaths
2020-03-10 18:55 118,252 cases, 4,262 deaths
2020-03-11 13:00 121,564 cases, 4,373 deaths
2020-03-11 15:00 121,977 cases, 4,373 deaths
2020-03-11 16:45 124,947 cases, 4,591 deaths
2020-03-12 09:00 127,750 cases, 4,717 deaths
2020-03-12 14:00 127,863 cases, 4,718 deaths
2020-03-12 21:45 128,343 cases, 4,720 deaths
2020-03-13 12:45 137,387 cases, 5,088 deaths

There are some photos I took at SuperStore and Freshco yesterday

https://www.flickr.com/photos/11381732@N08/albums/72157713465901768

Not too bad considering the stores were packed. People still civil.

-- 
Khalid M. Baheyeldin
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